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Portfolio Lab: Live
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2026W34:QQQ Fell. The Safer-Looking Portfolio Rose. Should I Switch?
A 3.42-point weekly gap felt decisive. Four questions show what it actually said about the two portfolio designs.
Aug 23
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Did the Permanent Portfolio Fail When QQQ Rebounded?2026W33
QQQ jumped 1.16% while the diversified model barely moved. One week shows why protection can feel costly without settling which rule is better.
Aug 16
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UnclAlpha
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QQQ Grew 20.2x. The Backtest Left Out Its Worst Crash.
The shared 2005 start was set by the five-portfolio comparison—not by QQQ. Here is what the result includes, and what it cannot show.
Aug 14
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UnclAlpha
2026W32: My QQQ Fell While the Permanent Portfolio Rose. Did I Choose Wrong?
One uncomfortable Wednesday showed how concentration and diversification create different temptations—even when both portfolios finished the week…
Aug 10
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UnclAlpha
How to Compare Five Portfolios Without Letting the Backtest Pick the Winner
The fixed rules behind Portfolio Lab: Live — and seven questions to ask before you believe any backtest.
Aug 5
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Alphabet’s Cash Is Not the Crisis. Free Cash Flow Might Be.
Q2 generated $39.1B of operating cash flow, but $44.9B of capex pushed quarterly FCF to $(5.9)B. The full-year question is still open.
Aug 3
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UnclAlpha
2:29
Same $10,000, Five Portfolios—Could You Live Through the Middle?
Issue #1 of Portfolio Lab: Live: five fixed model portfolios tracked every Monday before the bell, so you can see not only where they end, but what it…
Aug 3
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July 2026
Same $5,000-a-Year S&P 500 Plan—Why Did the Endings Diverge?
One deposit schedule, 16 overlapping historical starts, and endings from $151,000 to $389,000—because the crashes arrived in a different order.
Jul 13
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From $225 to $154 in a Week: What Is SpaceX Actually Worth?
One engine, two bets: SPCX taken apart account by account — plus a reusable tool for any stock that looks too expensive to make sense.
Jul 8
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UnclAlpha
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Why Do 90% of Professional Fund Managers Lose to a Machine? I Ran 26 Years of Numbers.
The worst market entry in modern history, held 26 years through three crashes — the five mechanical rules that beat the professionals, and the three…
Jul 6
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UnclAlpha
June 2026
Is the $1,000 Newborn Investing Account Actually a Good Deal? I Ran 33 Years of Numbers.
The new $1,000 newborn account, backtested against 33 years of the S&P 500 — plus three checks to judge any long-term plan.
Jun 26
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UnclAlpha
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